Markets Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Implied probability 63%−1 24-hour volume$26k Total volume$4.0M Liquidity$140k Resolves31 Oct 2026 Outcomes Yes 63% No 37% Trade this market on Polymarket → Stories on this market Kane, Mbappe and Messi headline Ballon d'Or shortlist as ceremony moves to London sports